UMS @ $0.87

Buy @ $0.87

My highest buy price… AGM today, afraid they may leak out good news, grab more first… 😀

I did a compilation of the semi.org Billings figures on a quarterly basis and computed the q-o-q change to compare with UMS Revenue & EPS figures,

 

WW Billings

UMS Revenue

UMS EPS

Q114

+5.63%

??

??

Q413

+6.89%

+35.78%

3.19ct

Q313

-6.15%

-22.69%

1.40ct

Q213

+20.10%

+17.8%

2.28ct

Q113

+1.10%

+28.73%

1.53ct

Q412

-26.33%

-5.76%

0.35ct

Q312

-13.12%

-37.35%

0.62ct

Q212

+17.75%

+14.52%

2.22ct

Q112

+3.09%

+27.17%

1.65ct

The Industry wide figures ought to provide us with a good picture on the state of the Industry cycle…. which is still +ve… The big jump in UMS Revenue & EPS in Q413 (when compared against WW Billings %) could be due to a timing lag as we see UMS figures for Q313 (1 Q earlier) was a much bigger drop vs WW Billing % Change. For other Qs, similar possible timing leads or lags may also be present…

There's a very high chance UMS will report a Q114 with higher Revenue. EPS will be a different matter as for Q413, there was a big jump and one of the contributing factors was lower Depreciation Expenses. A ball park estimate using Q413 & Q313 average and applying a +5% gives EPS = 2.41ct -> My Crystal Ball figure… I hope to see a higher EPS, at least > 2.5ct … The dream EPS would be at least 3ct or even higher than Q413 3.14ct…

Critical Dates

  • 6-May (Tue) : xd for 3.5ct
  • 9-May (Fri) : Q114 Results?

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