SingPost @ $1.565

Buy @ $1.565

CEO had sold down his stake… looks unlikely he'll change his mind… last day 30-Jun-16 or earlier…

SingPost @ $1.58

Buy @ $1.59, $1.58, $1.57

Average down the “itchy fingers” ones… Have to be prepared to keep till July when Double-xd comes into play… 😀

The continued high volume selling may be due to the push back to 31-Oct for their JV with Alibaba… the previously agreed upon $1.74 (at a good discount back then) for 5% of New Shares now seems high… but, when averaged with an earlier 10.35% @ $1.42, Alibaba shouldn’t be too unhappy.

  

Mail

Logistics

Retail & eCommerce

Revenue

Operating Profit

  

Revenue

Op Profit

Revenue

Op Profit

Revenue

Op Profit

Elimination

Total

Others

Total

FY16

499,802

147,775

625,972

37,696

160,660

2,249

-134,892

1,151,542

96,539

284,259

Q4 – Mar16

127,536

35,059

167,598

11,573

58,108

-3,216

-35,663

317,579

64,049

107,465

Q3 – Dec15

130,601

38,894

162,247

12,120

54,543

4,168

-31,207

316,184

-583

54,599

Q2 – Sep15

116,535

34,954

156,056

7,353

23,939

155

-33,358

263,172

22,025

64,487

Q1 – Jun15

125,130

47,296

140,071

6,650

24,070

1,142

-34,664

254,607

2,620

57,708

FY15

500,252

143,989

464,758

21,542

92,002

9,746

-137,430

919,582

11,088

186,365

Q4 – Mar15

123,472

36,887

136,268

4,970

23,985

2,505

-35,016

248,709

-7,171

37,191

Q3 – Dec14

130,111

37,946

122,063

6,938

22,882

1,745

-35,439

239,617

4,318

50,947

Q2 – Sep14

123,462

34,114

108,866

5,825

22,344

2,638

-34,330

220,342

5,255

47,832

Q1 – Jun14

123,207

35,042

97,561

3,809

22,791

2,858

-32,645

210,914

8,686

50,395

NOTE : FY16 Includes One-Time Divestment Gains = $112.1m

SingPost @ $1.6125

Sell @ $1.61, $1.615

Contra off + Cleared another batch (Losses) but lumped together, get a smaller profit… Supposed to be Yield Rotation Play, not keeping for longer term, else Free Cash gets tied up…  Left one very high priced batch…. 😀

Q4 results were out yesterday. EPS = 4.36ct vs 1.625ct YoY due to huge One-Time Gains… Slightly lower without this Gain… Mkt looked happy, even with STI -ve, -8.28 @ 2732.87… Range $1.60 – $1.64…

Some Points for me to take note,

  • Revenue : Logistics overtook Mail as No.1
  • Operating Profit : Mail still account for ~80% (after stripping out one-time gains)
  • eCommerce : Jagged Edge & TradeGlobal provides eCommerce Solutions ie Not Online Biz
  • Rental : Will suffer till SPC is completed in mid-17
  • Logistics Hub : Starts Operation in Jul-16 – May see cost benefits in Calendar Q3
  • Alibaba : 1st Share Issue @ $1.42 for 10.35% ; 2nd Issue @ $1.74 for 5% Delayed till end-Oct
    • Current Net Debt becomes Net Cash if Not Utilised for Further Acquisitions
  • CEO : Replacement not yet found. But, new Chairman (also Singtel Chairman) comes with good track record and will provide Mgmt Stability

IMO, short term weakness but supported by Alibaba expectations… 😀

SingPost @ $1.595

Buy @ $1.595

Cover back / Average down… 😀

STI +35.26 @ 2766.06 finally broke the 10 -ve streak… Was expecting STI to be -ve due to weaker China trade figures… happy to find a -ve stock to buy in a +ve mkt…

Q4 Results will be out tomorrow… Looking at previous Q results, Revenue likely to be substantially increased due to past acquisitions, with a smaller increase in Earnings… Div = 2.5ct likely to be maintained (ie little chance of more) as per Dividend Policy of 7ct / yr (Q1-Q3 = 1.5ct with Q4 = 2.5ct)… Am expecting PE to edge closer to 20 (little bit less scary)  from current 23…

SingPost @ $1.61

Sell @ $1.61

Contra off my only profitable ones as it's due… SingPost finally found someone who's willing to be the Chairman… Mr Simon Israel, current Chairman of Singtel! Singtel made it clear he was approached, not appointed by them… Mkt took the news well and allowed me to free up some cash… 😀

SingPost @ $1.5733

Buy @ $1.575, $1.57

Sudden drop -4ct @ $1.57 with STI -23.78 @ 2839.52… Both UOB and OCBC had reported profit declines and mkt sentiment don't look too good… Looks like I have bought way ahead of my plan to buy aro' Jul time-frame for the Double-xd play… 😀

SingPost @ $1.6092

Buy @ $1.615, $1.61, $1.605

Here we go again… this time buying in smaller Qty and more times to average down… STI -19.94 @ 2874.72… there're lots of fears this week in the upcoming news… 😀

SingPost @ $1.63

Sell @ $1.63

Contra off…. Bought too many yesterday, clear all as STI looked weak (-26) in the AM… Recovered in the afternoon to close -5.62 @ 2894.66 (Drop below 2900 again)…  ðŸ˜€