HLFin @ $2.44

Sell @ $2.44

Reduce my holdings. Latest Q2 results doesn't look promising. Annualised EPS = 13.34ct, lower than last Q = 15.2ct. Due mainly to higher provisions (for higher loans) as Revenue is slightly better ($57.76M vs last Q = $56.48M) although at Operating Profit level, it was a tad lower.

Anyway, doesn't look like it's going to get better soon. Greatest fear is still a General Offer at a premium to current prices which'll still likely be lower than my average cost. For now, I think my money may be better deployed elsewhere but will buy again if it drops. Got some more to sell at current prices and will watch xd on 28-Aug closely. 😀

MIIF @ $0.555

Sell @ $0.555

My last profitable ones. Huge buying on-going, Vol = 7,120,000 now. DPU = 2.75ct, xd on 23-Aug.

HNE toll cap is a concern but DPU = 2.75ct will be maintained for 2H (Dec) as well. For FY13, with HNE Revenue impacted by 20% to 25%, my likely projection is DPU = 5ct (reduce from 5.5ct) – (HNE DPU contribution = 1.915ct for FY11) and Share Price will likely drop closer to 50ct. The toll reduction impact started from 1-Jun and latest financials don't provide the monthly breakdown ; should be able to get a clearer picture from Q3 (Sep) financials. For now, better safe than sorry, start selling 1st… likely will drop after xd by more than DPU = 2.75ct unless supported by Shares Buy-Back. Expect some volatility until impact is clearer or guidance provided. Trading opportunity for those whose heart can take it…:D

Popular Hldgs @ $0.235

Buy @ $0.235

Went crazy, buy at my highest price ever! Someone sure has a lot to sell at this price, clearing the Buy Q every time. Got another fella, keep buying at $0.24, 1 lot each time. Skali same fella…. trick people like me to buy… 😀

With the AGM, an EGM will be held after it for shareholders to vote on their proposal for a Share Buy-Back mandate. Unless it's a smoke-screen, it's very unlikely that Mr Chou is planning to do a General Offer after all. Perhaps his stake of 57.03% is too low and likely to fail unless he offers at a much higher price. I think better chance of success if he has >70% stake.

Anyway, with a Share Buy-Back mandate (if approved), it can actually help him reduce the no. of shares, thereby increasing his %.

Will be watching the Q113 (Jul) figures closely. If no more growth, better start running….

As for Ei8ht Raja (near Balestier Rd), it looks like they'll only launch next year when it TOP. Previously, I look at it as a cup Half-Empty ie. fearful that it'll result in huge write-downs if they can't sell. But now, I see it as Half-Full ie. I think their Balance Sheet is strong enough (lots of cash) such that they're sticking to their rather unique approach (in Singapore context) to launch only when it TOP! I guess (and hope) they'll only sell when there's profits… so ya.. potential for additional earnings next year??

Lastly, PE = 6.35 ; Yield = 5.532% to convince myself… What's worrying is the low NPM = 5.52% (improved from FY11 = 4.56%). But, in the AR2012, the Chairman statement said they're the No.1 in Singapore, Malaysia and HK! If they can't make $$ with their No.1 position, who else can? Very likely, NPM too low becomes a good Entry Barrier + Competitors died a natural death, so consumers have not much choice but to continue to buy from Popular Hldgs.. 😀

So, in summary, scrutinise the Q1 (Jul) results closely for clues… should be due aro' end-Aug to B-Sep.

A-HTrust @ $0.86

Buy @ $0.86

Keep dropping since listing, buy some more to average down. Stabilising mgr has not done any buys since 3-Aug (Fri), looks set to officially stop action. 😀

UMS @ $0.41

Sell @ $0.41.

Contra off all, no more left. I was happy to Q to sell @ $0.4 but saw the huge and rapid buy up close to 5pm and decided to wait. True enough, during matching, closed higher. Looks like traders pushing it up again, likely will go higher tomorrow! 😀

RafflesMed @ $2.34

Buy @ $2.34.

Deicded to start buying back slowly even though my target was @ <$2.30. Just went xd on 13-Aug for 1ct div. Next one will be for FY12 (Dec), still a long way off. But, not a dividend yield stock, more as a bet on growth. Q2 Revenue +14.87% ; Net Profit +7.09% ; EPS +5% on a y-o-y comparison. PE = 24.63, rather high.

Looks like someone may have a lot to sell, kept filling up the sell Q. Seller CP '26' – BNP. 😀

UMS @ $0.385

Buy @ $0.385

Did a Jump-Q before mkt open. Hope to do as a short term trade as it's cd for 1ct div. 😀

CitySpring @ $0.405

Sell @ $0.405

No more left, am taking a huge realised loss. The earliest ones were bought on Mar-07 and carried at $1.48 (not adjusted for rights or dividends rx) in my spreadsheet. This will wipe out almost my entire realised profits for the year, which I'd managed to buld up after the earlier massive losses from Rickmers and FSL. Can call it Spring Cleaning II or more appropriately, Summer Cleaning!

Decided to switch to KGT as similar yields and KGT has zero debts vs High Gearing here. 😀

KGT @ $0.97

Buy @ $0.97.

Add to my collection. Am planning to switch out of CitySpring as both Yields are similar and KGT has zero debts whereas CitySpring is very heavily geared @ >60%. Yield = 8.062% vs CitySpring = 8.099% @ $0.405. Note that their Infrastructure are not the same (CitySping – Power in Singapore & Australia + Gas in Singapore ; KGT – Incinerator Plants in Singapore). Next DPU will be for 2H (Dec). 😀

UMS @ $0.3904

Buy @ $0.395, $0.39 & $0.385 (Jump-Q @ 5pm)

Add back to my portfolio again. Q2 results were out on 8-Aug after mkt closed. EPS = 2.22ct, better than Q1 = 1.75ct. May be due to their latest acquisitions of IMT-S and IMT-US but I didn't check. Div = 1ct as per their Dividend Policy (if profitable).

Decided to take the risk to collect some even tho' I don't quite like the CEO (cum shareholder) recent actions (sell down his stake + sell IMT-S & IMT-US, jointly held with his sis-in-law, to UMS). Further, Semicon Industry is highly cyclical and many fails to make good profits even on upturns. Their main customer (Applied Materials) cum minority shareholder is amongst the leader in their niche (semicon Eqpt) and have set up shop in Singapore. Fundamentally, UMS looks ok but will have to monitor closely. Viewed positively, CEO selling down his stake may open the door for a predator to takeover, I hope! 😀